Read the narrative before the tape.
Every story the desk ingests is scored for sentiment and weighted by source reliability. The signal is not the mood itself - it is where mood and price disagree. When narrative runs hotter than the tape, the next move often starts in that gap.
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The mood, and the gap.
A composite of live scored headlines. Unscored rows remain visible in the feed but do not affect the mood reading.
Only stored sentiment scores from the live database are counted. Missing scores are shown as awaiting score, not inferred.
Scored as it lands.
Every score shown below is stored in the live news table.
Revolut Starts EURR Rollout With Bridge as Regulated Issuer
Revolut opens EURR to selected customers in three countries; Bridge reported €374 outstanding, compared with €394.5 million of Circle’s EURC.
SEC Crypto Custody Rewrite Enters White House Review
The planned rule would cover advisers and investment companies and clarify digital-asset custody, following the withdrawal of a separate 2023 proposal.
China exports match forecast in August, imports fall short as domestic demand stays soft
The headline numbers land close to consensus but the details matter more than the surface read. Exports hitting the forecast exactly, while accelerating from July, confirms the export-led growth pattern…
Oil prices climb after reports of Saudi Aramco refinery being hit by Houthi rebels
The West Texas Intermediate and Brent crude contracts previously rose to near-seven-week highs.
Iran's warns economic warfare will be met by maritime exclusion zone
Secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, Mohsen Rezaei, warned on Tuesday that Tehran would respond to what it calls US "economic warfare" by imposing a maritime exclusion zone across…
Australian Dollar remains steady following China’s Trade Balance data
AUD/USD halts its four-day winning streak, trading around 0.7210 during Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair holds ground following the release Trade Balance data from China, Australia’s close trading partner.
China’s August Trade Balance: Surplus widens to $119.09 billion as expected
China's Trade Balance for August, in US Dollar (USD) terms, arrives at $119.09 billion, almost in line with $119.1 billion estimates, but higher than the July reading of $112.5 billion.
US Midterm Elections and Trump Pressure Are Stopping Rate Hikes, Says Wharton Professor
Wharton's Jeremy Siegel says Trump's pressure and looming midterms are the only things blocking a Fed rate hike this month. The post US Midterm Elections and Trump Pressure Are Stopping…
China August trade balance shows imports below expectations
China August:Trade balance $+119.09 bln (Reuters poll +$119.05Bn, prior +112.5bn)Dollar-denominated exports +25% y/y (Reuters poll +25.0% y/y, prior +23.9%)Dollar-denominated imports +28.2% y/y (Reuters poll +30.0% y/y, prior +27.5%)Background:Preview: China trade data due today, a beat could firm up AUD as a demand proxy tradeI'll have more to come on this separately,…
China's Rio Tinto ore purchasing halt appears set to take effect. AUD down.
The story itself isn't new, Reuters first reported the directive on August 6, but its relevance sharpens now that September has arrived, the month CMRG specified as the effective start…
Samsung, SK Hynix Lead Kospi Higher as Wall Street Faces Tough Opening After Labor Day
Samsung and SK hynix lifted Kospi Tuesday as Dow futures fell and oil climbed on Middle East tensions. The post Samsung, SK Hynix Lead Kospi Higher as Wall Street Faces…
Worldcoin up 13% as AI coins awaken – Can WLD stay above $0.45?
Here's why 69M token unlock was not enough selling pressure to win against Worldcoin bulls.
US Dollar Index (DXY) struggles below 99.00, two-week low as traders eye US inflation data
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, remains under some selling pressure for the second straight day and drops to an over two-week…
Canadian Dollar gains as US Dollar struggles despite rising Fed rate hike bets
USD/CAD extends its losses for the second successive day, trading around 1.3800 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. Analysts at HSBC caution that, despite the recent improvement in sentiment around…
The Cure for Cancer is Becoming an Investable Opportunity: Analyst Sees $600 Million for Tempus AI
Personalized cancer vaccines are creating a diagnostics investment opportunity beyond Moderna and Merck, with tumor sequencing at its center. The post The Cure for Cancer is Becoming an Investable Opportunity:…
British Pound drifts higher to near 1.3550 on UK fiscal discipline pledges
The GBP/USD pair gains ground to near 1.3545 during the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The British Pound (GBP) edges higher against the US Dollar (USD) after UK Chancellor John…
Goldman Sachs Says Oil Could Hit $120 as Trump Dismisses Diplomacy with Iran
Goldman Sachs says oil could hit $120 as Trump abandons diplomacy with Iran, escalating the risk of a wider war. The post Goldman Sachs Says Oil Could Hit $120 as…
WTI slips below $90.50 despite rising Middle East supply risks
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price edges lower and is trading around $90.40 per barrel during Asian hours on Tuesday.
Japanese Yen rallies to February 18 high as upbeat wage data and GDP lift BoJ hike bets
The USD/JPY pair declines for the second straight day – also marking the fourth day of a fall in the previous five – and sinks to its lowest level since…
PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 6.7804 vs. 6.7795 previous
The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) sets the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead on Tuesday at 6.7804 compared to the previous day's fix of 6.7795 and 6.7104…
Celestia hits 4-month high – Can TIA reclaim $0.48 despite selling pressure?
Celestia surged 11%, cleared $0.42 resistance, and jumped to a four-month high of $0.48.
Euro holds gains above 1.1600 on ECB tightening prospects
The EUR/USD pair trades with mild gains around 1.1625 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The Euro (EUR) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) amid expectations of a rate…
Tether-backed crypto exchange freezes withdrawals after $7 million leaves custody
The exchange reports more than $7 million moved from custody to outside wallets, with recovery still at an early stage. The post Tether-backed crypto exchange freezes withdrawals after $7 million…
Japan wage growth strongest since 1997, cementing BOJ hike case
The news headline for the data is here ICYMI:Japan wages data, July 2026: Headline earnings +4.7% y/y (expected +3.9%, prior +4%)Since then we've had:Japan revised Q2 GDP: +1.4% y/y (preliminary…
Japan revised Q2 GDP: +1.4% y/y (preliminary 1.1%)
Just the data points this post. I'll have more to come on this separately, details and implications, etc. ADDED: Japan GDP revision cements BOJ hike bets, yen and Nikkei in focusrevised…
Japan wages data, July 2026: Headline earnings +4.7% y/y (expected +3.9%, prior +4%)
Just the data on this post. July 2026. Average Cash Earnings YY 4.7% expected 3.9%, prior 4.0%Real wages + 2.4% y/y biggest increase since May 2021 seventh consecutive month of gainsADDED, details…
Gold declines to near $4,400 as robust US jobs data lifts Fed hike odds
Gold price (XAU/USD) drifts lower to near $4,410 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal extends the decline as a stronger-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for…
BRC data shows summer retail boost fading fast as GBP watches consumer signals
The retail slowdown adds another soft data point to the pile the Bank of England will weigh into its next policy assessment, with the loss of momentum in both BRC…
South Korea Q2 GDP, final, +0.6% (vs. expected +0.6%, prior +1.8%)
Data catch up. South Korean GDP Growth Final, Q2 2026:QQ +0.6%expected +0.6%, prior +1.8%YY +3.7% expected +3.7%, prior +3.6%---New Zealand Manufacturing Activity Volume Q2 2026:QQ +0.8%prior +3.6%Manufacturing Activity: QQ +3.1%prior +2.8%Kiwi $ little…
A seven-year-old blockchain is permanently abandoning its own network to seek refuge on Ethereum
The plan would move ONE to Ethereum after an exploit and rollback, while urging users to exit smart contracts before Sept. 10. The post A seven-year-old blockchain is permanently abandoning…
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