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BTC $65,048 -1.40% ETH $1,877 -3.00% SOL $75.80 -2.60% XAU/USD -- -- EUR/USD -- -- DXY -- -- AVAX $6.25 -5.40% USD/JPY -- -- BTC $65,048 -1.40% ETH $1,877 -3.00% SOL $75.80 -2.60% XAU/USD -- -- EUR/USD -- -- DXY -- -- AVAX $6.25 -5.40% USD/JPY -- --
RESEARCH / WHITEPAPER

No black boxes. Read the math.

The methodology behind the data layer, scoring model, signal gates and audit trail that power the desk.

Inputs
Prices + news normalised feeds
Model
4 detectors independent signals
Output
Desk brief plain-English verdict
Source normalisation

Data Pipeline

01

Ingest

Prices, FX rates and news are collected from configured sources and normalised into canonical symbols.

02

Clean

Duplicate stories are removed, stale data is rejected and every row keeps source attribution.

03

Score

Momentum, volume, breadth, news alignment and macro pressure are converted into evidence scores.

04

Explain

The desk turns the score into a readable verdict with drivers, risks and what changed since the last refresh.

Independent evidence

Four-Detector Ensemble

Momentum

24h and 7d direction. Stronger when both timeframes agree.

Source attribution is shown where the underlying widget supports it.
Volume

Volume-to-market-cap ratio. Confirms whether the move has participation.

Source attribution is shown where the underlying widget supports it.
Breadth

How much of the market is moving with the asset or sector.

Source attribution is shown where the underlying widget supports it.
News alignment

Related headlines and source quality, separated from first-party verdicts.

Source attribution is shown where the underlying widget supports it.
Macro pressure

Dollar, rates, gold and FX context that can invalidate crypto-only readings.

Source attribution is shown where the underlying widget supports it.
Volatility

Detects whether the move is orderly or vulnerable to mean reversion.

Source attribution is shown where the underlying widget supports it.
Correlation breaks

Flags when historically linked assets stop moving together.

Source attribution is shown where the underlying widget supports it.
Confidence

A combined score. It is a filter, not permission to trade.

Source attribution is shown where the underlying widget supports it.
Thresholds and meaning

Composite Scoring

0-49

Noise

No published signal. Watch the market, but avoid over-reading weak evidence.

50-64

Monitor

Early setup. Requires more breadth, volume or macro confirmation.

65-79

Desk-worthy

Strong enough for a first-party desk note with clear invalidation.

80+

High confidence

Multiple detectors agree. Still requires position sizing and risk control.