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FOREX · CHA/RTS CHA / RTS — rates, data and positioning

CHA/RTS desk.

A live FX pair page with price, chart, macro catalysts, retail sentiment and source-aware news context.

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Positioning · CFTC

COT
Live CFTC positioning for this pair is refreshing. It updates weekly from the public COT report.

Pivot levels populate once daily candles are cached.

What's driving it

Macro context.

RATES · context

Central-bank repricing

Use this driver as a context filter before reading the chart.

DATA · context

Macro calendar surprises

Use this driver as a context filter before reading the chart.

FLOW · context

Broad dollar and risk-appetite direction

Use this driver as a context filter before reading the chart.

Positioning

Institutional COT.

INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING · CFTC COT REPORT

Forex Client Sentiment

Real non-commercial (speculator) positioning from the CFTC Commitments of Traders report — the weekly gold standard for institutional FX futures data. Published every Friday at 15:30 ET covering the preceding Tuesday.

Data as of
Jul 14, 2026
Source: CFTC.gov
📖 How to read this data
▲
Bullish signal

More longs than shorts among large speculators. When longs exceed 75%, the trade is crowded — smart money often fades extremes.

▼
Bearish signal

More shorts than longs. Extreme short positioning (>75%) can signal exhaustion — short squeezes become more likely.

◆
Mixed / Neutral

Near-equal positioning with no strong directional lean. Wait for a catalyst to tip the balance before taking a directional view.

⚠
Contrarian tool

COT data is best used as a contrarian indicator at extremes, not as a trend-following signal. Always combine with technicals and macro context.

▲ Bullish
67% Long 33% Short
67%
net long · large speculators
Large speculators hold a majority long position. Contrarian reading: if longs exceed 75%, the trade is crowded and a reversal risk is elevated.
▼ Bearish
29% Long 71% Short
71%
net short · large speculators
Large speculators hold a majority short position. Contrarian reading: extreme shorts (>75%) can signal exhaustion and a potential squeeze higher.
▲ Bullish
67% Long 33% Short
67%
net long · large speculators
Large speculators hold a majority long position. Contrarian reading: if longs exceed 75%, the trade is crowded and a reversal risk is elevated.
USD/CHF ⚠ EXTREME
▲ Bullish
83% Long 17% Short
83%
net long · large speculators
Large speculators hold a majority long position. Contrarian reading: if longs exceed 75%, the trade is crowded and a reversal risk is elevated.
◆ Mixed
41% Long 59% Short
59%
net short · large speculators
Positioning is balanced between longs and shorts. No strong directional lean from the institutional futures market.
USD/CAD ⚠ EXTREME
▲ Bullish
87% Long 13% Short
87%
net long · large speculators
Large speculators hold a majority long position. Contrarian reading: if longs exceed 75%, the trade is crowded and a reversal risk is elevated.
▼ Bearish
38% Long 62% Short
62%
net short · large speculators
Large speculators hold a majority short position. Contrarian reading: extreme shorts (>75%) can signal exhaustion and a potential squeeze higher.
📊 Methodology

What is "non-commercial" positioning? The CFTC splits traders into commercials (hedgers — airlines hedging fuel, exporters hedging receivables) and non-commercials (large speculators — hedge funds, CTAs, and proprietary traders). Non-commercial positioning is the best proxy for "smart money" directional bets in the futures market.

Why is this contrarian? When speculator positioning reaches extreme levels (>75% net long or net short), the trade is crowded. There are few participants left to push price further in that direction, and a catalyst can trigger rapid unwinding. Historically, extreme COT readings have preceded significant reversals in EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY.

Limitations: COT data is published weekly with a 3-day lag. It captures futures positioning only, not spot or OTC markets. Use alongside technicals, fundamental analysis, and the live desk signals above for best results.

Headlines

FX news.

Live feed

Forex and central-bank headlines

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